This is the most popular goal-based wager for soccer. It’s also very straightforward and probably the easiest one to make money from. Let’s take a look at how it works.
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With this wager, you’re betting on whether the number of goals scored in a game will be higher or lower than a specified total. You can usually choose which specified total you want to bet on and must then decide whether to back the over or the under.
You back the over when you think there’ll be MORE goals than the specified total and the under when you think there’ll be FEWER goals.
We’ll now use an example to explain this wager in more detail. Here’s a typical betting market for over/under total goals.
Before we get into the detail here, we should first explain why each of the totals in this market includes a “half-goal.” This is simply to prevent wagers of this type resulting in a push. Because it’s not possible for a team to score half a goal, a wager on over or under one of these totals HAS to either win or lose. The actual total will ALWAYS be higher or lower than the totals listed above.
Let’s say you place a wager on over 2.5 goals here. The actual total cannot be exactly 2.5 goals, so you’re definitely going to win or lose this wager. To win, you’d need a total of three (or more) goals to be scored in the game.
This would take the actual total OVER the total you’re betting on, so you’d get paid out at the appropriate odds. In this case, the odds are 2.05, meaning a $10 wager would return $20.50.
If two goals or less were scored in the game, the actual total would be UNDER the total you’re betting on. You’d therefore lose your wager and forfeit your stake.
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Please note that it doesn’t matter what the result of the game is for wagers of this type. Nor does it matter which team scores the goals. The only thing that matters is the number of goals scored in total. Three or more means you win, and two or less means you lose. It would be the other way around if you were betting on UNDER 2.5 goals.
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If you bet on over 3.5 goals, then you need four or more goals to win. Three or less, and you lose. If you bet on under 4.5 goals, then you need less than five goals to win. Five or more, and you lose. If you bet on over 1.5 goals, then you need two or more goals to win. One or less, and you lose.
That’s pretty much all there is to this wager. Like we said, it’s very straightforward! The only other thing we should mention is the odds.
You’ll notice that the odds for the various betting options in the above market are quite different. Over 0.5 has odds of just 1.08, for example, while under 0.5 has odds as high as 7.00.
Can you guess why this is? It’s quite logical when you think about it. It’s obviously VERY likely that there’ll be over 0.5 goals scored but very UNLIKELY that there’ll be under 0.5 goals scored.
The odds for over/under 2.50 are much closer together. This is because over 2.5 goals is roughly as likely as under 2.5 goals.
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It’s important that you understand these differences in odds and why they exist. They’re actually a big part of what makes the over/under total goals such a great wager. Because you can choose which total to bet on AND whether to go over or under, you can effectively balance your risk versus reward ratio.
You can choose to play it safe, for example, by betting the under on a high total. Or betting the over on a low total. The odds will be low, but you’ll have a good chance of winning.
Alternatively, you can take a risk and go for a bigger payout. Betting the under on a low total, for example, is high risk but high reward. The same applies to betting the over on a high total.
Regardless of whether you play it safe or take a risk, you still need to think carefully about how many goals are likely to be scored in a game. This means taking into account all the relevant factors that can affect the outcome of a game, and especially the ones that affect the number of goals scored. This is something we discuss in detail on the following page.
You also need to think about when it’s appropriate to use this type of wager. Although you can use it for any game that you want, that doesn’t mean you should use it for EVERY game. You need to be selective and try to identify the most suitable opportunities.